If you wait to see Denis Villeneuve’s Dune on HBO Max or in an American theater, you may be waiting a little longer than previously expected.
After being delayed for a year earlier, Dunes According to multiple sources, the US state release date has been shifted from October 1 to October 22. And though this will sting for Dune fans, a delayed release date in the US could be the way to go in the long run for Dune as a franchisee.
In fact, given one detail about this release date change, the chances of a Dune sequel seems to have improved Possible mild spoilers ahead. Speculation follows.
according to Variety, the US release date for Dune is now October 22. Presumably this means that the film will also be shown on HBO Max on October 22 and not on the first day of the month, as previously announced. Since a second trailer is rumored to be arriving later this month, the new US release date could be further confirmed at any time.
Assuming the US release date has been pushed back, that will affect the future of Dune in two ways: an immediate one, a long-term one. This is what you can expect.
Dune spoilers are hard to avoid
On top of the fact that the source material is 56 years old, specific spoilers for this edit of Dune can become a fact from September. Before the wide international release, Dune debuts on September 3 at the Venice Film Festival.
After that, the European cinema release date for the film is September 15th. With a US release date of October 22, that means the US public will be watching more than a month between Dune‘s international release and the US bow. if Dune fans were hoping to avoid spoilers with the new movie, they can expect to be very, very careful on the internet for up to a month.
Example: a new one Dune trailer has already appeared on a Japanese Dune Twitter account. (In Japan, it appears that the release date is October 15, earlier than the new date in the US.)
This early international release will no doubt be difficult for the US Dune fans, but the advantage for the Dune franchise as a whole is much more important.
Dunes international checkout is critical
The story of how much money? Dune makes at the box office will almost certainly determine whether there will be a sequel. When the concurrent HBO Max/theatrical release plan was announced, director Denis Villeneuve and wrote an opinion piece saying, “Warner Bros. may have just got the… Dune franchisee.”
Villeneuve’s argument was clear: If Dune streams at the same time it hits theaters will hurt box office numbers. And if checkout counts are low, WB’s willingness to make a sequel would likely decline. Most reports indicate that the new movie is only adapting half of the first Dune novel by Frank Herbert, and some sources suggest that the new Dune asks for a sequel to complete the story.
if Dune International is a month out before it reaches HBO Max, it’s conceivable that a healthy international box office would make a bad showing at the US box office less meaningful when it comes to follow-up question. In other words, if Americans… nothing but people who don’t pay to see Dune in theaters, a healthy global box office yield can de Dune franchisee.
To speculate further, the other advantage of Dune The fact that it’s out worldwide for a whole month before it hits the US is that it gives more time to build the buzz around the film. Because the release date has been pushed back so many times, the hype machine for Dune is currently a slow burn. If film critics in Europe and Asia give it up Dune spicy-good reviews, then Americans might be willing to pay for it by then Dune hits theaters October 22 and HBO Max.
Admittedly, some of this may just be wishful thinking. But if we’re going to get one Dune sequel after this first film, the fledgling franchise needs more than luck. Fear may be the mind-killer, but when it comes to big box office numbers, the fear of a flop may be well-founded.
Dune coming to HBO Max and theaters in the US on October 22, 2021.